Featured Research

The global order is undergoing a fundamental shift towards a ‘Neorealist Moment’, in which power politics has returned to the heart of international relations. Traditional multilateral frameworks are splintering into parallel systems aligned with geopolitical blocs. Economic and security policies are converging, and middle powers are confronted with uncomfortable choices regarding their alignment and autonomy. Our Policy Brief argues that middle powers cannot simply adapt to this environment; they must establish a collective presence by forming a ‘Third Pole’ coalition. Success requires pooling capabilities across four strategic pillars: Defence and Autonomy, Digital Sovereignty and Infrastructure, Social Cohesion, and Serving as a Beacon for ‘Third States’. This Policy Brief sets out high-level priorities for governments and international organisations to implement this strategy.